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Orkaan Gustav op ramkoers

31 08 08 - 11:55 Categorie 3 orkaan Gustav heeft inmiddels de Golf van Mexico bereikt. Verwacht wordt dat hij nog verder in kracht zal toenemen. New Orleans wordt ontruimt, olieplatforms in de Golf en raffinage-installaties landinwaarts lopen groot gevaar.

Volgens de laatste computermodellen zal Gustav ten westen van New Orleans aan land komen. Aangezien de rechterkant van een orkaan het meest gevaarlijk is, een voor de stad zeer ongunstig scenario. Burgemeester van New Orleans, Ray Nagin, heeft opdracht gegeven de stad te ontruimen. Dit is “de storm van de eeuw, de moeder van alle stormen”, aldus Nagin zondag.

Meteorologen gaan er vanuit dat de storm in het relatief warme water van de Golf van Mexico zal aanzwellen tot een categorie 4 of 5 orkaan en als categorie 3 of 4 de staat Louisiana bereikt. In de Golf van Mexico bevind zich 25 procent van de Amerikaanse olieproductie capaciteit. Het bedreigde gebied landinwaarts is goed voor de helft van de landelijke raffinagecapaciteit.

De grote oliebedrijven, zoals Shell en ConocoPhillips, hebben het grootste deel van hun personeel in de Golf reeds geëvacueerd. In de staat Louisiana zijn verschillende grote olieraffinaderijen gevestigd. In het gebied ten zuiden van Louisiana en ten oosten van Texas staan honderden olieplatforms. Verwacht wordt dat bij grote schade de olieprijs maandag fors zal stijgen.

Laatste nieuws Gustav
National Hurricane Center
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22 reacties

NEW YORK (Dow Jones) Energy producers have shut in approximately 77% of oil output and 37% of natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico, as the industry shutters its activities ahead of the extremely powerful Hurricane Gustav, the U.S. Minerals Management Service said Saturday.

Most of the shut-in production is unlikely to return before the end of next week.

The agency said personnel have been evacuated from a total of 223 production platforms, equivalent to 31.1% of the 717 manned platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. Most of the major producers, including the two largest - Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDSA) and BP PLC (BP) have announced a total halt to offshore operations ahead of Gustav's arrival in the region. Others, including Chevron Corp. (CVX), have partially cut production linked to platforms shut down by other producers.

Crews from 45 rigs have also been evacuated, as of 12:30 a.m. EDT, equivalent to 37.2% of the 121 rigs currently operating in the Gulf.

According to the report, nearly 1 million barrels of daily oil production is now shut down. The last time this happened was in November 2005, after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. In addition, 2.75 billion cubic feet of daily natural gas production is now shut down.

Gustav swelled into a fearsome Category 4 hurricane with winds of 145 miles per hour Saturday as Cuba raced to evacuate more than 240,000 people and Gulf residents to the north clogged highways fleeing New Orleans.

It could become a Category 5 storm over the Gulf of Mexico by Sunday, with winds of 160 mph, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

The near-total shutdown of offshore oil and gas production is likely to last through the end of next week, even if Gustav causes little damage. Producers must fly workers back to offshore installations by helicopter, a process that can take days. Platforms also take several days to return to full output.

Producers will not be able to fly out workers until Tuesday at the earliest, based on Gustav's current track.
wouter - 31 08 08 - 14:22

Er werd vandaag al even gehandeld

Oil jumps on Gustav threat

Crude rises during a special electronic trading session . Hurricane bears down on region that controls 25% of U.S. crude production.

hele artikel
Peter - 31 08 08 - 22:51

Gustav is intensifying again, and headed for Louisiana

Nieuwe update van Jeff Masters, die echt kennis van zaken heeft
Hans - 31 08 08 - 23:08

Volgens het NOS-nieuws valt het erg mee voor New Orleans, Gustav is als een categorie 2 aan land gegaan. Als de dijken het nog eventjes uithouden valt de schade mee. Over de olieplatformen hebben ze niks gezegd.
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