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« 'Staatsschuld Portuga… | Home | Spanje en de euro: to… »

Groeten uit Pyongyang, Dublin & Madrid

23 11 10 - 20:15 Militaire schermutselingen tussen Noord- en Zuid Korea en toenemend wantrouwen over de stabiliteit van de euro bepaalden de stemming. Zuid-Europese spreads schoten omhoog en Pimco waarschuwt voor een 'massale bankrun' in Ierland.

Over een onberekenbare gek uit Pyongyang valt in financieel-economische termen niet veel te zeggen, anders dan dat markten niet houden van extra onzekerheid. Het echte onderliggende verhaal is de aanhoudende malaise uit de Eurozone periferie. Politici blijven ad-hoc brandjes blussen, maar beleggers stemden dinsdag met hun voeten, de spreads op ‘PIIGS papier’ lopen weer stevig op.


“Zeer ernstige situatie”
Behalve Portugal staat ook Spanje weer in de spotlights. De spread op 10-jarig staatspapier vloog intraday ruim 13 procent omhoog. Ook Ierland blijft een zorgenkind, de Duitse bondskanselier Angela Merkel sprak dinsdag van een “zeer ernstige situatie”. De euro/dollar-koers ging wederom richting Zuiden en doorbrak intraday 1,34. Bernanke's Quantitative Easing lijkt alweer bijna vergeten…

Opmerkelijke en niet ongevaarlijke uitspraken van Mohamed El-Erian, CEO van ’s werelds grootste obligatiebelegger Pimco. Ierland stevent mogelijk af op een “massale bankrun”, die het land “een generatie lang” zal schaden, aldus El-Erian. De eurozone lijkt op een roeiboot met steeds meer gaten. Wie dit ‘schuldenweb’ van mei 2010 bekijkt, kan daar eigenlijk niet eens verbaasd over zijn.

Hans Jager
© Blikopdebeurs.com Used tags: , , , , ,
38 reacties

Ik ben benieuwd wanneer ze Jan Hommen en Dick Sluimers vragen voor een TV optreden. Ik gok op vrijdag en dan mogen ze hun eigen straatje weer schoonvegen.
Eurocraat Wellink - 23 11 10 - 22:11

Portugese en Spaanse rente blijft maar stijgen
Deze crisis is nog niet voorbij denk ik
ben - 24 11 10 - 10:28

Nieuw record rente 10-jarig Spaans papier
http://www.businessinsider.com/of-course..
Hans - 24 11 10 - 10:47

Is het niet dat Spanje al maandelijks injecties van de ECB krijgt? Opkopen van staatspapier bijvoorbeeld. Die injecties liepen alsmaar op.
Ferry - 24 11 10 - 11:02

Nog even dit.
Het is waarlijk een gotspe om een model te bouwen op dat hypothetische drijzand van de heer Wellink;

''Er zijn schuchtere signalen dat het herstel een zelfdragend karakter krijgt.''

http://www.nu.nl/economie/2386516/euro-z..
Ferry - 24 11 10 - 16:14

Ik heb spijt als haren op mijn hoofd dat ik niet een paar maanden geleden goud heb gekocht (toen het op 900 euro/troy ounce stond). Ik vind het nu wel erg duur, maar overweeg het alsnog. Zodra er een bailout voor alle PIIGS moet komen kan de ECB weinig meer dan de geldpersen aanzetten...
martin - 24 11 10 - 16:18

"Stresstests were a lie"

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/jer..
Dronkaard Cowen - 24 11 10 - 19:01

Lees dat de Ieren voor de komende 4 jaar rekenen met een economische groei van 2,75% (!) per jaar. Vraag me af of dat plan soms in de pub is gemaakt...
Hans - 25 11 10 - 00:02

Realistisch rekenen werkt ook niet: doordat de overheid overal op bezuinigd en de belastingen verhoogt, krimpt de economie, waardoor meer mensen werkeloos raken, waardoor de economie verder krimpt, en waardoor de staatsschuld relatief nog groter wordt (uitgedrukt in % BNP).
martin - 25 11 10 - 11:59

De euro/dollar-koers ging wederom richting Zuiden en doorbrak intraday 1,34. Bernanke's Quantitative Easing lijkt alweer bijna vergeten

Gratis geld zonder de gebruikelijke repercussies op de markt -- de droom van iedere geldbiljetdrukker.

Bernanke's primaire conclusie zal zijn dat de markt kennelijk nog wel wat meer QE kan hebben. ;-)
Jacques - 25 11 10 - 14:24

Net zoals ze in Portugal en Griekenland ook begrepen dat ze nog wat geld extra konden lenen, tot het een bepaalde kritische massa bevatte. Toen begon ineens iedereen zich zorgen te maken, en nu zitten ze diep in de problemen.
QE zal nog wel een keer goed gaan (maar 1% stijging van de hoeveelheid dollars...) maar op een gegeven moment gelooft niemand het meer, en knalt het ineens in elkaar.
martin - 25 11 10 - 16:43

Vandaag was er een groot artikel over de opvolger van Trichet en de naam Axel Weber viel vaak. Ook de Finse centrale bankier werd genoemd en Draghi. Echter in het hele artikel waar ongeveer 10 namen vielen, werd niet een keer Nout Wellink genoemd. En was het niet het FD, NRC en Elsevier die beweerde dat Wellink de eventuele opvolger zou zijn?

De DNB spindoktoren vertellen een verhaal aan de journalisten en die nemen het vervolgens klakkeloos over. Enig analyse en inhoud onbreekt volledig bij de NL media. Er jammer want journalistiek is een mooi en nobel vak.
Eurocraat Wellink - 25 11 10 - 20:40

There is no such thing as a free lunch. De opmerking v de Jager 'we gaan erop veridienen' zal in de geschiedenisboekn ingaan als de meest domme opmerking tijdens de eurocrisis.

Ziehier een artikel wat nu gaande is in de obligaitemarkt. Niet verwonderlijk als je rotzooi met kwaliteit mixt, krijg je nog steeds rotzooi. Nederland wordt minder kredietwaardig met alle garanties:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/finan..
Eurocraat Wellink - 26 11 10 - 17:32

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