S&P verlaagt kredietrating van België
25 11 11 - 21:15
Van De Standaard:
Ook de rente op Belgische langetermijnobligaties steeg vandaag verder. De rente steeg vandaag naar 5,8 en dat is zeer slecht nieuws voor België dat maandag nog eens tussen de 1 en de 2 miljard euro aan staatspapier wil veilen. De renteverhogingen van de voorbije dagen zouden er ook kunnen op wijzen dat beleggers al speculeerden op een ratingverlaging van ons land.
Uit het persbericht van S&P:
- What we see as renewed funding and market risk pressure, which is increasing the perception of difficulties in the Belgian financial sector and in our opinion raising the likelihood that the sector will require more sovereign support. This, in turn, increases the likelihood that contingent liabilities will crystallize on the sovereign’s public balance sheet, in our view. In the context of Belgium’s already high stock of general government debt (anticipated to end 2011 at around 93% of GDP in net terms, and at around 97% of GDP in gross terms), this could potentially push net general government debt above 100% of GDP.
- Risks to the government’s budgetary position, stemming from an increasing likelihood we see that economic growth will slow, given the deleveraging of the European financial sector. With exports of over 80% of GDP, Belgium is one of the most open economies in the eurozone and is therefore in our opinion highly susceptible to any weakening of external demand.
- The ability of authorities to respond to potential economic pressures from inside and outside of Belgium, which in our opinion is constrained by the repeated failure of attempts to form a new government. While Belgium’s caretaker government has implemented temporary measures that have improved the primary fiscal position during 2011, in our opinion it lacks a mandate to implement deeper fiscal and structural reforms.
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