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« 'Stagflatie in VS als… | Home | 'Noodfonds naar 2 bil… »

Duitsland tempert euro-optimisme

17 10 11 - 20:21 De Europese top van 23 oktober zal "geen definitieve oplossing" bieden voor de schuldencrisis, waarschuwde de Duitse minister van financiën Wolfgang Schäuble maandag. Wel zou er een "grote stap" vooruit worden gezet. Beleggers waren niet blij met deze 'realpolitik', hetgeen toch opmerkelijk genoemd mag worden.

Van het Financieele Dagblad (paywall):
“De zwartkijkers kregen gratis munitie aangeleverd. Aan het einde van de ochtend meldde de woordvoerder van bondskanselier Angela Merkel dat er 'gedroomd' wordt dat alle problemen volgende week maandag zijn opgelost. Dat zal niet gebeuren, aldus de zegsman, die er aan toevoegde dat de zoektocht naar oplossingen zeker tot ver in 2012 zal voortduren. Ook minister Schäuble deed een duit in het zakje door te stellen dat een 'definitieve oplossing' tijdens de eurotop zal uitblijven.”

Herkapitalisatie 400 miljard
Volgens Schäuble  zullen op 23 augustus wel belangrijke stappen worden gezet inzake de versterking van de Europese bankensector. Dat dit nogal in de papieren kan lopen, blijkt uit een analyse van Credit Suisse, waar Zerohedge delen uit publiceerde. Rekenend met een Common Equity Tier 1 ('CET1') ratio, zou de herkapitalisatie ca. 400 miljard euro moeten bedragen. ING is gecalculeerd op 4 miljard.

“In our estimation of what could be the “new EBA stress test” there would be 66 failures, with RBS, Deutsche Bank, and BNP needing the most capital – at €19bn, €14bn and €14bn respectively. Among the banks with the highest capital shortfalls, SocGen and Barclays would need roughly €13bn with Unicredit and Commerzbank respectively at €12bn and €11bn.”

Ook lezenswaardig: een nieuwe, uitgebreide analyse van Franse banken door Reggie Middleton.

© Blikopdebeurs.com Used tags: , , , , ,
48 reacties

Het vermeende optimisme over de daadkracht van de politiek bestaat toch echt alleen maar in de hoofden van politici en natuurlijk de roze brillen zoals de heer de Kort altijd pleegt te zeggen.
Richard - 18 10 11 - 10:39

En dan komt er ook nog nieuws uit de bananenrepubliek die UK heet. En o zo blij is dat ze niet in de EURO zone zitten.
Inflatie nu ruim boven 5%. !!
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article310..

http://www.metro.co.uk/news/878936-uk-in..

Ze gaan daar echt Zimbabwe achterna.

En zoals nu wel duidelijk wordt bericht het FT dagelijks over de problemen in de EURO zone.

En 1x per week een berichtje als:

RBS is weer omgevallen
Inflatie 5.2%

Media-war is on!!

Er komt een moment dat de man in de straat in de UK zich gaat afvragen of hun elite wel helemaal eerlijk is.

I
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 13:41

P.S.

Ik gooi er maar een "bold prediction" in. Ik voorspel dat binnen een paar jaar zowel Denemarken als de UK tot de EURO toetreden. We zien dat vooral de Britse elite zich steeds rader gaat gedragen (kat in het nauw). Het is zelfs niet ondenkbaar dat de UK voor die tijd nog uiteenvalt.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/s..
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 13:51

O zo blij dat we niet in de Euro zitten.
Geen commentaar:

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2011/10/..
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 14:27

In de serie "ik ben zo blij dat ik niet in de euro zit" was deze ook gemist door het FT

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-..

Waarschijnlijk was men te veel bezig met onzin berichten over de in slechte staat verkerende Franse banken.
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 17:15

Ik zie dat de telegraph het bericht over schotland snel heeft weggehaald.
Hier een link
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress..
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 17:20

@ Hans,
Vandaag drama met de Franse staatsobligaties. Spread tussen Duitse en Franse obligaties zijn een all-tme high. Wat waren ook al weer de posities van ABP?
Eurocraat Wellink - 18 10 11 - 17:56

E. Wellink
Als zelfs de Fransen de bietenbrug opgaan zie ik waarde van de euro door het putje gaan. En terecht overigens. Wat is dan nog een euro.
Goosss - 18 10 11 - 18:41

http://www.abp.nl/abp/abp/images/Top-100..

Maar gelukkig hebben ze ook nog wat belegingen in de VS.
No 4 = Federal National Mortgage Association dat is Fannie Mae en Fredie Mac en No 6 Fredie Mac
Gezamelijk ongeveer evenveel als in Italiaanse staats obligaties.
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 18:52

France Yield 3.14% op een inflatie van 3%. dat is reeel 0.14% rendement.
Begrijp ik het verkeerd maar kan iemand mij uitleggen wat het probleem is voor Frankrijk?
taco (Email) - 18 10 11 - 19:05

Taco
Maakt eigenlijk niet zoveel uit. Mijns inziens zijn de pensioenen op termijn toch al verloren. Dan maar wat eerder. Kan de oudere generatie gelijk voelen wat voor sprookjeswereld ze hebben gecreeerd. Solidariteit is bij hen ook ver te zoeken.
Goosss - 18 10 11 - 19:11

Een mooi voorbeeld hoe onzinnige het nieuws is van RTL.

Nu ben ik zeer negatief over pensioenen maar om maar wat in het wilde weg te gaan babbelen?

http://rtl.nl/(/reizen/yorintravel/bestb..)/components/financien/rtlz/2010/weken_2010/19/0513_1230_jacob_immoreel_gedrag_abp.xml

Als je vervolgens deze lijst van ABP zelf bekijkt dan kan een kleuter zien dat de eerste bewering "25% beleggingen in Italie" niet klopt! Dat pensioenen zwaar gegokt hebben met Griekenland kan ik niet terugvinden in de ABP lijst.
Met heel veel getal gegochel laat Jacob zien dat de verhouding Griekse obligaties te groot is. Nog altijd is de exposure Griekenland heel veel kleiner dan het vermogen dat men gestopt heeft in Bank Of America, Hoe groot zou dat verlies zijn? Maar Jacob schijnt dat geen probleem te vinden.

Dat de portfolio staatsobligaties 10% vergeet hij te vertellen. Dat de portfolio opgebouwd moet worden naar economie omvang zoals hij beweert, lijkt mij geheel onzinnig.

Wat betreft de opmerking over Spanje is kompleet absurd. Spanje is na de US de werelds grootste netto schuldenaar.

http://translate.google.com/translate?sl..

Daar wil je je pensioen niet beleggen. Je vraagt je af hoe die Spnjaarden dat terug gaan verdienen?
Het McKinsey rapport:
http://www.elconfidencial.com/archivos/e..

Verder zien wij in de portfolio nog grote bedragen Fredi Mae en Fredi Mac. Bedrijven die feitelijk al failliet zijn. Daar horen we Jacob niet over.

Pensioenen zullen een groot probleem worden, echter Griekenland is daar maar een heel klein deeltjes van.
taco (Email) - 19 10 11 - 10:47

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Being better than Celsus was of course a manifestoa statement that the Ancients should not be trusted and that the best teachers might not be found at universities but rather in nature herself.com or the author Mean time rigidity at base and tip of sleeprelated erections in progressive altitude no significant reductions were shown in rigidity time at [url=http://newpharmnorx.com]acquista cialis generico online[/url] Comparison of the efficacy and safety of sildenafil citrate Viagra and oral phentolamine for the treatment of erectile dysfunction.et al.See FigureLike Paracelsus and Agrippa he was keen on the use of minerals and extracts as drugs but less enthusiastic about the mysticism and Hermetic traditions of alchemy.In their rebuttal also published in IJC Wallentin and colleagues note that none of the analyses by DiNicolantonio and Tomek include any description of their statistical methodology. [url=http://shopshopfastbestmed.com]Buy Levitra[/url] He had been working with the bacterium Staphylococcus whose harmful strains cause abscesses boils respiratory infections and food poisoning.A. [url=http://achatpriligyfrance.com]ou trouver priligy[/url] A pregnancy test of urine andor serum HCG are usually positive.However his ideas continued to be ignored and cholera continued its deadly attacks.The tumor can metastasize to lymph nodes and internal organs.For example only one group may receive counseling in addition to the intervention that is being studied the counseling may affect the outcome in some way.Decongestants pseudoephedrine or oxymetazoline Facilitate sinus drainage and relieve congestion Available in both topical and systemic preparations Give for no more than to days c.She founded the first formal nursing training school. [url=http://viagrafordailyuseusa.com]viagra no prior prescription[/url] Seminiferous tubules are the interstitial cells of the testes.The plague pandemic Half the population of Riga Latvia is wiped out by the plague.whose duties included being a priest a soothsayer an oracle an advisor or even a ruler. [url=http://usfastmed.com]Buy Clomid[/url] B.
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'Bankenunie op losse schroeven'

Editors Choice -- 16 2013 at 10:42 am Van Handelsblatt: Zwischen der Bundesregierung und der EU-Kommission ist ein erbitterter Streit über die Bankenunion entbrannt. Wie das Handelsblatt aus Regierungskreisen erfuhr, will Berlin die von Brüssel geplante EU-Behörde zur Abwicklung maroder Banken mit allen Mitteln verhindern. „Wir werden gegen eine EU-Lösung politisch und notfalls auch rechtlich vorgehen“, sagte ein hochrangiger Regierungsvertreter dem Handelsblatt.




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